Executive summary
Retailers face fragile global supply chains due to rising tariffs, shipping volatility and increasing consumer demand for speed. While nearshoring is often considered a solution, it delivers results only when implemented as part of a risk-smart, split-shoring strategy. This model positions the right products near demand centers and is supported by strong governance and compliance. To protect margins and build resilience, retailers must move beyond cost-only optimization and adopt a strategic sourcing portfolio backed by scenario modeling, digital tools and compliance by design. Boards and stakeholders now expect transparency, risk clarity and long-term sustainability — not reactive cost-cutting.
Retailers today face rising tariffs, volatile shipping costs and relentless consumer demand for speed. Together, these forces have made global supply chains brittle. Yet bringing all production closer isn’t the answer. Our point of view: Nearshoring succeeds only when built as a risk-smart, split-shoring model, where the right products, at the right volumes, are placed near demand and backed by strong governance and compliance. Done right, this approach delivers speed and resilience without eroding margin.
Over the last decade, retailers have tended to optimize for cost. Accordingly, manufacturing shifted offshore, pipelines stretched across oceans and landed-cost math looked unbeatable. But cracks are showing in this strategy:
- Volatile tariffs have undercut retailers’ margin assumptions. Even though legal challenges have gained traction, the future of these tariffs remains uncertain.
- Shipping instability, from pandemic backlogs to container shortages, has sometimes turned 30-day lead times into 90.
- Consumer expectations for same-day or two-day delivery make a six-week pipeline unsustainable.
Despite these conditions and frequent industry interest, Grant Thornton’s Jonathan Eaton, a Business Consulting Principal, asserts nearshoring has not yet been a common choice for retailers. “Nearshoring decisions are entangled with contractual realities and scale. Many retailers depend on massive production volumes in Asia,” Eaton said, “where suppliers demand long-term commitments. The notion of split-shoring, dividing production between geographies, can often fail in practice because suppliers will not accept reduced volumes.”
Eaton emphasized that the real investment in nearshoring must occur upfront, through rigorous analysis — not through pilot programs, which could lead to unwanted costs.
“Companies should not rush into nearshoring as a reaction to tariffs or short-term disruptions. Instead, they should model multiple scenarios, weigh operational and tax implications, and ensure that any change aligns with long-term strategic goals,” Eaton said. The “cheapest” sourcing option is no longer automatically the right one, and boards must be prepared to pivot as risks evolve.
A risk-smart, split-shoring model
Nearshoring can work, but not for every product, every region or every strategy. A winning approach more often is split-shoring, which involves building a portfolio of supply options across offshore, nearshore, and even domestic nodes. This split-shoring model recognizes that:
- Not all volume should move
- Speed matters more for some products (fast-fashion tops, seasonal décor) than others (basic socks, commodity items)
- Compliance and scalability must be designed in from the start
Simply shifting assembly or suppliers closer to a demand center doesn’t automatically equate to cost efficiency. Many companies discover a “landed cost mirage”: the on-paper savings from cutting ocean shipping or import duties evaporate once they face the realities of operating in higher-cost labor markets or immature industrial ecosystems. For example, a retailer might nearshore apparel production to avoid tariffs and long transit, only to incur higher unit costs due to regional wage rates and lower supplier economies of scale.
“Getting out of China because you’re going to have to pay a tariff isn’t a good business decision in and of itself,” Eaton said. “A retailer should do what makes sense strategically and what is right for the company, the shareholders, and the customers.”
Finding hidden costs
For Grant Thornton’s Lawrence Griff, Head of Retail & Consumer Brands, when considering nearshoring or split-shoring options, from an audit standpoint, what matters are volatility factors such as shipping costs, tariffs, or geopolitical instability. Those factors, more than proximity, directly affect margins, impairments, and financial health. Whether goods are sourced from Asia or closer markets, for instance, does not fundamentally alter the accounting process.
Griff said that investors, retailers and governing boards increasingly scrutinize disclosures about sourcing. “Given the turbulence of recent years, COVID-related supply disruptions, shifting tariffs, and fluctuating shipping costs, stakeholders want visibility into supply chains,” said Griff. “Governing boards are less interested in hindsight and more focused on preparedness: understanding what alternatives exist, what levers can be pulled, and what unintended consequences may follow strategic shifts.” Boards, Eaton said, primarily want clarity on risk, financial upside, and the sustainability of proposed changes.
Instead of asking “Is nearshoring cheaper?” the question should be, “Does a mixed supply network deliver a steadier margin profile over time?”
Design the playbook through technology
Technology and M&A also can reshape supply chains, Eaton said, which can influence a choice to nearshore. Artificial intelligence and automation help reduce inventory without sacrificing service, while mergers or divestitures force network redesigns. Boards, in his experience, primarily want clarity on risk, financial upside and the sustainability of proposed changes.
Using technology to analyze supply chains means retailers can consider building a product-by-product sourcing map, for example:
- Speed-sensitive products such as seasonal apparel and fast-moving accessories can be sourced closer to demand to reduce markdowns.
- Stable, cost-driven items such as basic household goods can remain offshore, supplemented by regional sources.
- Regional assembly of bulky or heavy products such as furniture can cut freight costs and improve availability.
- Regulated or ESG-sensitive products such as children’s apparel and foods can be prioritized to jurisdictions with higher transparency.
Compliance in the design
Nearshoring or split-shoring often means operating in new jurisdictions, each with its own labor standards, environmental laws and customs requirements. That adds contractual and compliance complexity: more supplier agreements, more regulatory frameworks, and potentially multi-currency and multi-tax considerations.
To manage this effectively, companies should adopt “no-regret” compliance controls from the start:
- Map requirements up front: labor, environmental, safety, and country-of-origin rules.
- Build documentation into supplier onboarding: require origin proofs, certifications and audit readiness.
- Standardize audits across all suppliers, nearshore and offshore.
- Invest in traceability tools that extend to second- and third-tier suppliers.
- Phase expansion deliberately so compliance capacity grows with supply chain volume.
Compliance by design not only avoids fines, it also builds trust with customers and investors who increasingly demand transparency into sourcing practices. Near-demand supply chains can deliver real benefits under the right conditions, but they also can drive up costs if compliance is not well understood and managed.
Strategies to consider
Above all, Eaton said, decisions about shifting supply chains, whether nearshoring, reshoring or split-shoring, should not be made hastily or based solely on narrow factors such as tariffs or transportation costs. Retailers should take a holistic approach, one that integrates financial modeling, operational analysis, tax considerations and strategic alignment.
Nearshoring alone isn’t a retail strategy. But when it is part of a split-shoring portfolio, supported by risk-adjusted economics, rigorous compliance, and digital visibility, it delivers resilience and speed without sacrificing margin. The path forward isn’t reshoring everything. It’s reshoring smartly, selectively and sustainably. Retailers who act now will transform supply chains from fragile to future-ready.
Contacts:
Partner, Business Consulting
Grant Thornton Advisors LLC
Jonathan is a Partner in the Operations & Performance practice.
Charlotte, North Carolina
Industries
- Manufacturing, Transportation & Distribution
- Technology, Media & Telecommunications
- Energy
- Retail & Consumer Brands
Service Experience
- Advisory Services
- Business Consulting
Content disclaimer
This Grant Thornton Advisors LLC content provides information and comments on current issues and developments. It is not a comprehensive analysis of the subject matter covered. It is not, and should not be construed as, accounting, legal, tax, or professional advice provided by Grant Thornton Advisors LLC. All relevant facts and circumstances, including the pertinent authoritative literature, need to be considered to arrive at conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this content.
Grant Thornton Advisors LLC and its subsidiary entities are not licensed CPA firms.
For additional information on topics covered in this content, contact a Grant Thornton Advisors LLC professional.
Trending topics
No Results Found. Please search again using different keywords and/or filters.
Share with your network
Share